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Posts: 3,139 | Thanked: 8,156 times | Joined on Feb 2013 @ From my Gabriola Island hermitage, near the Edge of the World
#3126
The presiding logic you are running with wiki ...
Is the initial estimate of "actual" people who invested in pre ordering.
It isn't a matter of doubting...or highly doubting...
it is a certainty...
all of the 200 people who will not pay another penny for a finished device tomorrow are most certainly less myself, Ken, and a few others who have piped up to state as much...
within the last 48 hours..

How many will pipe up in the coming days, weeks and months to voice their yea or nay ...
How many are now currently having real life issues and cannot commit to the costs..
How many have long departed the forum or abandoned hope of seeing completion of the neo and simply moved on...

Hell...
How many have flippin' died in the last 5 years..and won't be ever seeing the completion or in-completion of this project...for that matter ..
Those numbers have yet to be figured.

As the days weeks and months follow...
The numbers of "yeas" and "nays" and the number of those who have simply abandoned the forum or their neo investment ..
will show...by the voicing or lack of voicing ...their position.

I like to bet on sure things when I gamble at the casino..
So it's blackjack for me..with odds almost 50-50..the best one can hope for..
And I wouldn't put any money on there being the 200 people you estimate.
I wouldn't put money on there being 150 people,

under a 100 to possibly 50 and under..
is my best guess for the numbers (CURRENTLY AT THIS MOMENT IN TIME) who will follow through and commit the sums of money expected for an exaggeratedly overdue and now outdated (spec-wise..) device.

But most certainly it isn't 200 people now wiki..
So when the final guesstimate is in..
Then tabulate the expected cost of the number of people who are still committed vs those who are not / abandoned their commitment
and the projected additional cost per device to pick up the slack of those who are not committed any longer ...
said cost per device.. of those individuals who are no longer committed...will increase the given end cost the committed individuals will have to bear...naturally... per device accordingly..
So I would wait for that final guesstimate before tabulating what the end cost is going to be...
rather than "counting your neo's before they are hatched..."

(actually that adage needs amending considering the situation..it should be "don't be counting your pre-order chickens before they come back to the hen house to see if they will even lay an admission of stating they would pay the remainder..")
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Owner of :
1-n770 (in retirement), 3-n800's / 3-n810's (still in daily use), 5-n900's ((3 are flawless, 1 loose usb ( parts), 1 has no telephony (parts))
3-nexus 5's : 1 w/ Floko Pie 9.1 (running beautifully) waiting for Stable Droid 10 rom, 1 w/ ̶Ubuntu Touch, 1 with Maru OS (intend maemo leste when ready)

1/2 - neo900 pre- "purchased" in 2013. N̶o̶w̶ ̶A̶w̶a̶i̶t̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶r̶e̶f̶u̶n̶d̶ ̶p̶r̶o̶c̶e̶s̶s̶ ̶l̶a̶s̶t̶ ̶f̶e̶w̶ ̶y̶e̶a̶r̶s̶ - neo900 start up declared officially dead -
Lost invested funds.


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Last edited by endsormeans; 2018-07-24 at 09:53.
 

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